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DHT: 11CSV

25 Oct 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.4%
Woking
23.9%
Draw
17.7%
Dorking

Expected Goals (xG)

1.89

Woking

vs
0.95

Dorking

Markets

BTTS53.1%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
6.7%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
0-1
4.7%
4-0
3.1%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).