Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.4%
Tranmere
23.9%
Draw
21.7%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Tranmere
vs
0.92
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
7.4%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).