Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.2%
Leverkusen
19.8%
Draw
62.0%
Bayern Munich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Leverkusen
vs
2.40
Bayern Munich
Markets
BTTS65.7%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.570.7%
Over 3.549.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.4%
1-3
7.5%
0-2
7.4%
0-3
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
2-3
4.7%
1-4
4.5%
0-4
3.6%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).