Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.8%
Getafe
34.5%
Draw
26.7%
Ath Bilbao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Getafe
vs
0.75
Ath Bilbao
Markets
BTTS33.1%
Over 0.581.5%
Over 1.551.6%
Over 2.524.7%
Over 3.59.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.5%
1-0
16.9%
1-1
13.5%
0-1
13.0%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
0-2
5.0%
1-2
4.9%
3-0
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).