Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.5%
Frosinone
24.3%
Draw
47.2%
Fiorentina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Frosinone
vs
1.60
Fiorentina
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).