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10 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.2%
Andorra
30.1%
Draw
45.7%
Las Palmas

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Andorra

vs
1.18

Las Palmas

Markets

BTTS37.2%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.558.1%
Over 2.531.1%
Over 3.513.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.8%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
11.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
5.0%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-3
3.0%
2-2
3.0%
3-1
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).