Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.9%
Bielefeld
23.9%
Draw
47.2%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Bielefeld
vs
1.92
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS66.9%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.544.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.8%
0-1
5.5%
2-3
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
1-0
4.0%
0-3
4.0%
2-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).