Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Paris FC
24.7%
Draw
41.5%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Paris FC
vs
1.34
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.8%
1-1
11.7%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
0-0
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).