Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →88.3%
Paris SG
8.2%
Draw
3.5%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
3.17
Paris SG
vs
0.51
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.571.1%
Over 3.550.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.4%
2-0
12.7%
4-0
10.6%
1-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
5-0
6.7%
2-1
6.5%
4-1
5.4%
1-1
3.9%
5-1
3.4%
0-0
2.3%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).