Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.3%
Venezia
15.5%
Draw
7.2%
Cesena
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Venezia
vs
0.71
Cesena
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.542.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
3-0
10.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
7.4%
4-0
7.0%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
4.3%
5-0
3.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).