Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.7%
Gil Vicente
23.3%
Draw
19.1%
Moreirense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Gil Vicente
vs
0.83
Moreirense
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
2-0
11.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).