Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.1%
Stevenage
23.3%
Draw
24.6%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Stevenage
vs
0.98
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
1-1
11.0%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).