Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.8%
Stockport
19.2%
Draw
21.9%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Stockport
vs
1.19
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS60.4%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.541.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-0
8.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
0-1
5.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-1
3.6%
4-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).