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HHT: 10CSV

10 Aug 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.4%
Stockport
21.2%
Draw
15.4%
Cambridge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

Stockport

vs
0.70

Cambridge

Markets

BTTS40.7%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.0%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
7.7%
0-1
7.0%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
4-0
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).