Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.7%
Nurnberg
27.9%
Draw
37.3%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Nurnberg
vs
1.40
Hertha
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
7.6%
1-0
7.5%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).