Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.9%
Burton
22.7%
Draw
27.4%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Burton
vs
1.13
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).