Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Valladolid
25.2%
Draw
28.9%
Eldense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Valladolid
vs
1.15
Eldense
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.1%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).