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AHT: 01CSV

04 Feb 2020 · 20:05

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.1%
Chateauroux
25.2%
Draw
37.6%
Chambly

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Chateauroux

vs
1.23

Chambly

Markets

BTTS48.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.7%
1-0
11.6%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
0-0
7.6%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).