Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.1%
QPR
29.9%
Draw
32.1%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
QPR
vs
1.13
Stoke
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.4%
0-0
10.3%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).