Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.0%
Strasbourg
10.4%
Draw
3.7%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
2.67
Strasbourg
vs
0.38
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS29.0%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.9%
3-0
15.1%
1-0
13.0%
4-0
10.0%
2-1
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
5-0
5.4%
1-1
4.5%
0-0
4.5%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
2.1%
5-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).