Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.8%
Lincoln
17.7%
Draw
12.5%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Lincoln
vs
0.72
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
2-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.1%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.3%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).