Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.3%
St Etienne
16.0%
Draw
11.6%
Niort
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
St Etienne
vs
0.77
Niort
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.4%
1-1
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
5.4%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
4.2%
0-0
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).