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AHT: 11CSV

03 Nov 2023 · 19:30

Bochum

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.4%
Darmstadt
28.8%
Draw
42.8%
Bochum

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Darmstadt

vs
1.38

Bochum

Markets

BTTS50.5%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
10.8%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).