Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.5%
Dumbarton
19.0%
Draw
65.5%
East Kilbride
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Dumbarton
vs
2.71
East Kilbride
Markets
BTTS69.7%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.592.2%
Over 2.576.7%
Over 3.557.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.6%
1-3
7.8%
1-1
7.5%
0-2
6.5%
0-3
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
1-4
5.3%
2-3
5.2%
2-1
4.2%
0-4
4.0%
0-1
3.6%
2-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).