Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →89.2%
Bayern Munich
7.3%
Draw
3.4%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
3.92
Bayern Munich
vs
0.82
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.595.1%
Over 2.585.0%
Over 3.569.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.8%
4-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-1
7.1%
5-0
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
5-1
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
1-0
3.3%
1-1
3.0%
3-2
2.9%
4-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).