Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.9%
Modena
29.4%
Draw
38.8%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Modena
vs
1.33
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
9.5%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).