Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.6%
Hoffenheim
22.9%
Draw
46.5%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Hoffenheim
vs
1.98
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS69.0%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.547.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
7.0%
1-3
5.8%
0-2
5.6%
0-1
5.0%
2-3
4.6%
1-0
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
3-2
3.7%
0-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).