Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
Amorebieta
27.9%
Draw
32.3%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Amorebieta
vs
1.08
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.3%
0-1
10.8%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).