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30 May 2021 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.4%
Mirandes
27.6%
Draw
33.9%
Sabadell

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Mirandes

vs
1.14

Sabadell

Markets

BTTS47.9%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
10.8%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).