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31 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.9%
Crook Town AFC
24.2%
Draw
42.9%
Ashington AFC

Expected Goals (xG)

1.30

Crook Town AFC

vs
1.52

Ashington AFC

Markets

BTTS56.6%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.9%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.6%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).