Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.7%
Alloa
12.1%
Draw
82.2%
Hearts
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Alloa
vs
3.26
Hearts
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.592.4%
Over 2.578.0%
Over 3.559.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
9.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
8.1%
0-4
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
1-4
6.6%
1-1
5.3%
0-5
4.9%
0-1
4.5%
1-5
4.3%
2-3
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).