Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.7%
Burton
23.4%
Draw
34.9%
Leyton Orient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Burton
vs
1.31
Leyton Orient
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.2%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.4%
0-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).