Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.8%
Espanol
22.2%
Draw
15.0%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Espanol
vs
0.74
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
7.7%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).