Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.0%
Eastleigh
27.4%
Draw
32.6%
Altrincham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Eastleigh
vs
1.30
Altrincham
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
7.2%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).