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AHT: 00CSV

21 Dec 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.0%
Torino
24.8%
Draw
44.2%
Bologna

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Torino

vs
1.52

Bologna

Markets

BTTS55.1%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.1%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).