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27 Oct 2024 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.5%
Veres
33.5%
Draw
29.0%
Vorskla

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Veres

vs
0.82

Vorskla

Markets

BTTS35.4%
Over 0.583.1%
Over 1.554.2%
Over 2.527.0%
Over 3.510.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.9%
1-0
15.8%
1-1
13.7%
0-1
13.2%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).