Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.4%
AFC Wimbledon
30.1%
Draw
25.5%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.76
Crewe
Markets
BTTS35.4%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.555.6%
Over 2.529.2%
Over 3.512.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
0-0
14.7%
1-1
12.4%
0-1
12.2%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
5.0%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).