Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.5%
Karagumruk
16.3%
Draw
76.1%
Fenerbahce
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Karagumruk
vs
2.89
Fenerbahce
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.573.3%
Over 3.552.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
9.2%
0-3
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
1-3
8.2%
1-1
7.4%
0-4
6.4%
1-4
5.9%
0-1
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
3.8%
0-5
3.7%
0-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).