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25 Feb 2024 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.9%
Amorebieta
30.1%
Draw
38.0%
Albacete

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Amorebieta

vs
1.08

Albacete

Markets

BTTS40.8%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.533.6%
Over 3.515.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.1%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
12.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).