Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.0%
Aves
28.4%
Draw
39.6%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Aves
vs
1.14
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.1%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
11.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).