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DHT: 01

02 Jan 2026 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.7%
Gil Vicente
23.6%
Draw
62.7%
Bromsgrove Sporting

Expected Goals (xG)

0.74

Gil Vicente

vs
1.84

Bromsgrove Sporting

Markets

BTTS45.0%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.3%
0-3
7.8%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.8%
0-4
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
1-4
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).