Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.9%
Birtley Town
16.1%
Draw
57.0%
Shildon AFC
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Birtley Town
vs
3.18
Shildon AFC
Markets
BTTS85.8%
Over 0.599.7%
Over 1.597.1%
Over 2.590.8%
Over 3.579.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-3
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
5.3%
1-2
5.0%
2-4
4.7%
3-3
4.5%
3-2
4.2%
1-4
4.2%
3-4
3.6%
2-1
3.5%
2-5
3.0%
1-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).