Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.6%
Aris
17.0%
Draw
13.4%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Aris
vs
0.89
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.4%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
4-1
4.3%
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
0-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).