Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.8%
Elche
22.4%
Draw
11.7%
Amorebieta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Elche
vs
0.57
Amorebieta
Markets
BTTS35.5%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.5%
2-0
15.1%
0-0
10.0%
1-1
9.8%
3-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-2
2.4%
4-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).