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08 Mar 2021 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.8%
Trabzonspor
26.1%
Draw
17.1%
Alanyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.02

Trabzonspor

vs
1.07

Alanyaspor

Markets

BTTS59.5%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.7%
1-0
6.7%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
4-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).