Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.2%
Sp Gijon
21.9%
Draw
19.9%
Eldense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Sp Gijon
vs
1.01
Eldense
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
3-0
6.2%
0-1
5.6%
0-0
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
3-2
3.2%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).