Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.6%
Toulouse
22.6%
Draw
23.8%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Toulouse
vs
1.00
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
0-1
8.0%
0-0
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).