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11 Feb 2022 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.7%
Leganes
30.5%
Draw
21.8%
Zaragoza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Leganes

vs
0.69

Zaragoza

Markets

BTTS34.5%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.555.8%
Over 2.528.9%
Over 3.512.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.2%
0-0
15.2%
1-1
12.4%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
4-0
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).