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21 Sept 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.8%
Salford
25.1%
Draw
33.1%
Walsall

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Salford

vs
1.22

Walsall

Markets

BTTS52.8%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
0-0
6.7%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).