Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.7%
Newport County
21.6%
Draw
17.6%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Newport County
vs
0.86
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
2-0
11.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
6.9%
0-0
6.4%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).